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"40-70% der Weltbevölkerung werden infiziert" (Sonstiges)

Nolte, Mittwoch, 26.02.2020, 13:14 (vor 1493 Tagen) @ Schwaben-Supporters

lautet ein Szenario eines Harvard-Epidemiologen für das kommende Jahr. Ihm zufolge werden wir die Ausbreitung des Virus' nicht verhindern können, locker die Hälfte der Weltbevölkerung wird damit in Kontakt kommen, aber bei den allermeisten wird die Infektion mild oder gänzlich ohne Symptome verlaufen. Juhu!

Lipsitch predicts that within the coming year, some 40 to 70 percent of people around the world will be infected with the virus that causes COVID-19. But, he clarifies emphatically, this does not mean that all will have severe illnesses. “It’s likely that many will have mild disease, or may be asymptomatic,” he said. As with influenza, which is often life-threatening to people with chronic health conditions and of older age, most cases pass without medical care. (Overall, about 14 percent of people with influenza have no symptoms.)

Lipsitch is far from alone in his belief that this virus will continue to spread widely. The emerging consensus among epidemiologists is that the most likely outcome of this outbreak is a new seasonal disease—a fifth “endemic” coronavirus. With the other four, people are not known to develop long-lasting immunity. If this one follows suit, and if the disease continues to be as severe as it is now, “cold and flu season” could become “cold and flu and COVID-19 season.”

theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/02/covid-vaccine/607000/


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